We can have different views about the agricultural policies that the South African government adopted since the dawn of democracy, but the one thing we can all agree on, I hope, is that the sector has grown tremendously – as illustrated in Figure 1. Importantly, this expansion was not driven by a few sectors but has been widespread — livestock, horticulture and field crops. Of course, the production of some crops has declined over time, most notably; wheat, and sorghum. This, however, had a lot do with changes in agroecological conditions and falling demand in the case of sorghum, not policies.

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Source: DAFF, Agbiz Research

This uptick in production has been underpinned, largely, by the adoption of new production technologies, better farming skills, growing demand (locally and globally), and progressive trade policy. I use the words – progressive trade policy – solely to highlight South Africa’s standing in global agriculture. South Africa was the 32nd world’s largest agricultural exporter in 2018 – the only African country within the top 40 world’s largest agricultural exporters in value terms. This is according to data from Trade Map. This was made possible by a range of trading agreements the South African government secured over the past couple of years, with the most important ones being the African, European and Asian regions. The African continent and Europe now account for about two-thirds of South Africa’s agricultural exports. Asia is also an important market for South Africa’s agricultural exports, demanding a 25% export share in 2018. The agricultural subsectors that have largely enjoyed these signs of progress in exports are horticulture (and wine), and grains. Broadly, South Africa now exports roughly 49% of its agricultural products in value terms. In 2018, South Africa’s agricultural exports reached US$10.6 bn, a record level. Aside from the exports The increase in agricultural output is the reason South Africa is now ranked 45th out of 113 countries in the Global Food Security Index, making it the only African country within the top 50. I do recognize, however, that boasting about this ranking when millions of South Africans go to bed hungry every day is contradictory, as has been pointed out to me after a few presentations where I cited these statistics. We must remember that the Global Food Security Index balances the four elements (affordability and availability, as well as quality and safety) to arrive at a rating and covers matters at a broad national level. In this regard, South Africa produces enough food to fill the shelves of supermarkets with high-quality products but still has a long way to go in addressing household food insecurity as many households cannot afford the food that is available in a way that meets their nutritional demands. This is a topic for another day! Transformation As encouraging as this agricultural progress story is, some may ask whether the gains we’ve seen in agricultural production over the past two decades have been widely shared across different cohorts of farmers in South Africa? There are no easy answers to this, as we lack data on the entry-level of black farmers to agriculture in South Africa (and progress), as I have previously noted in an essay for The Citizen newspaper here. Likewise, even the existing sector has seen consolidation and corporatization, which means that the number of farmers in the sector has decreased. However, statistics may not paint the full picture as the professionalization of the sector has also led to more formal employment opportunities being created for qualified persons as family farms have somewhat been replaced by professional agribusinesses with line managers. But what we can also not ignore is the anecdotal evidence pointing to a rise of black farmers in some corners of South Africa. We see this in field crops, horticulture and livestock. I have in the past pointed out the rise of black grain farmers in the Eastern Cape (you can read the post here). Concluding remarks So, as we continue on this agricultural journey, lets always be cognizant of the progress South Africa has made in boosting our agricultural fortunes (see Figure 1). And in the quest to grow and be more inclusive, be forever vigilant of the unintended consequences of the policies we seek to implement. Equally, we must never be complacent with the dualism that we continue to see in South Africa’s agricultural sector. The task, then, is how to grow South Africa’s agricultural sector in a more inclusive and transformative manner? This, I think, will need both the private sector (organized agriculture groups and agribusinesses, etc.) and government to craft a common vision for the sector with clear rules of the game and monitoring systems. This can build on the work of the National Development Plan (chapter six to be specific), and other progressive programmes and policies that are available to the nation. I recognize that I left out a number of key agricultural indicators in this blog.

Follow me on Twitter (@WandileSihlobo). E-mail: wandile@agbiz.co.za

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