
South Africa’s livestock industry is constrained by biosecurity challenges
While farmers were able to manage the rising feed costs in the past two years to an extent, the current season has presented new challenges — a vast outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease as well as continued occurrences of swine flu and avian flu outbreaks.

South Africa’s consumer food price inflation accelerated in May 2022
We are in a period of elevated prices, and food is at the core of these increases. For example, in May 2022, South Africa’s consumer food price inflation accelerated to 7,8% y/y, from 6,3% in the previous month. This is the quickest pace since March 2017.

The weather is again the main focus in South Africa’s agriculture
Warmer or drier weather is needed to complete the harvests of the summer crop and citrus, as well as transporting of product. Simultaneously, we need rains for the winter crops, which are now in the middle of their planting season, and for various horticulture products, mainly in the Western Cape.

China to adopt genetically modified maize and soy: why it matters for South Africa
The Chinese National Crop Variety Approval Committee released two standards that clear the path for cultivating genetically modified crops in the country. This has been the missing piece in the regulations for the commercial growing of genetically modified maize and soybeans in China.

Unusually long La Niña points to continued bumper crops in South Africa
SA will likely be in its fourth consecutive La Niña season in 2022/23, bringing higher-than-normal rainfall. This is an unusual occurrence. The only period in the recent past that had three or more successive years of conducive weather conditions and the accompanying large crop harvests was between 2007 and 2010.

South Africa’s agriculture exports up modestly in the first quarter of 2022
We now have the trade data for the first quarter of 2022, and positively, exports are up, modestly, by 1% y/y to US$2,96 billion. This is also up by 6% quarter-on-quarter.